Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.440394 0.482501 0.527557 0.579468 0.637772 0.701396 0.776298
2026-02-01 0.364209 0.421378 0.486788 0.567646 0.665572 0.781167 0.929181
2026-02-08 0.325460 0.390643 0.468710 0.570065 0.699593 0.861517 1.082347
2026-02-15 0.294553 0.363756 0.449647 0.565586 0.720317 0.923084 1.214641
2026-02-22 0.273078 0.345532 0.438259 0.567739 0.747290 0.992746 1.363164
2026-03-01 0.252081 0.325540 0.422018 0.560693 0.759469 1.041466 1.485760
2026-03-08 0.233614 0.307120 0.405879 0.551524 0.766582 1.082115 1.599364
2026-03-15 0.215068 0.287056 0.385672 0.534356 0.759642 1.100095 1.678268
2026-03-22 0.207506 0.281589 0.385262 0.545443 0.795250 1.185575 1.875806
2026-03-29 0.200045 0.275626 0.383492 0.553989 0.827179 1.267782 2.077862
2026-04-05 0.192023 0.268237 0.378963 0.557661 0.851237 1.338919 2.269170
2026-04-12 0.184206 0.260604 0.373445 0.559127 0.871430 1.404989 2.459430
2026-04-19 0.177556 0.254455 0.369963 0.563860 0.898007 1.485875 2.692001
2026-04-26 0.167644 0.242778 0.357194 0.552426 0.895700 1.514579 2.825139
2026-05-03 0.161641 0.236782 0.352944 0.554765 0.917649 1.590085 3.066136
2026-05-10 0.154706 0.228918 0.345178 0.550432 0.926937 1.642094 3.264240
2026-05-17 0.149614 0.223689 0.341334 0.552515 0.948059 1.719229 3.530628
2026-05-24 0.143160 0.215923 0.332836 0.545699 0.951603 1.761035 3.721388
2026-05-31 0.136776 0.207960 0.323567 0.536829 0.950328 1.792526 3.892188
2026-06-07 0.129417 0.198063 0.310522 0.520218 0.932410 1.786776 3.968954
2026-06-14 0.127331 0.196829 0.312213 0.530946 0.970126 1.905634 4.388043
2026-06-21 0.124927 0.194928 0.312613 0.539214 1.003464 2.018625 4.814212
2026-06-28 0.121883 0.191787 0.310646 0.542766 1.027168 2.112260 5.205595